Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 8.361868 9.277469 10.276887 11.453079 12.804877 14.316296 16.143012
2025-12-07 6.845164 7.995324 9.336288 11.029441 13.130471 15.678790 19.044936
2025-12-14 5.866043 7.080863 8.558975 10.514509 13.071217 16.354084 20.978197
2025-12-21 5.268134 6.529564 8.118438 10.303109 13.287667 17.312197 23.310910
2025-12-28 5.238091 6.674284 8.550474 11.238931 15.091981 20.578628 29.301929
2026-01-04 4.968230 6.467274 8.482043 11.464976 15.908171 22.524614 33.630890
2026-01-11 4.578909 6.059988 8.095178 11.186960 15.936394 23.270344 36.146865
2026-01-18 4.408013 5.938371 8.092111 11.457209 16.805447 25.407158 41.305617
2026-01-25 4.126814 5.636523 7.801057 11.258535 16.904373 26.287886 44.379452
2026-02-01 3.890636 5.382405 7.558709 11.108149 17.055596 27.258616 47.762324
2026-02-08 3.670539 5.136889 7.310038 10.922373 17.120829 28.073404 50.964858
2026-02-15 3.457869 4.889122 7.040210 10.677428 17.054389 28.631367 53.727082
2026-02-22 3.296591 4.716596 6.885751 10.627360 17.355877 29.971365 58.553914
2026-03-01 3.076139 4.440629 6.550764 10.246253 17.022628 30.050096 60.613459
2026-03-08 2.856592 4.154162 6.181319 9.776619 16.477790 29.636295 61.442418
2026-03-15 2.711072 3.977113 5.979088 9.583778 16.435868 30.241329 64.860504
2026-03-22 2.776928 4.140994 6.347705 10.436803 18.509043 35.609444 81.749204
2026-03-29 2.718016 4.097335 6.362815 10.642583 19.311103 38.322335 92.348255
2026-04-05 2.584300 3.922877 6.142939 10.389477 19.135770 38.760207 96.498957
2026-04-12 2.542229 3.899369 6.183412 10.635514 20.042287 41.904960 109.833289
2026-04-19 2.434999 3.760133 6.011611 10.454653 20.001478 42.716116 115.949617
2026-04-26 2.341379 3.639942 5.867356 10.317700 20.044291 43.747368 123.151502
2026-05-03 2.248747 3.517409 5.712514 10.148453 19.997084 44.538870 129.783743